THE CONSERVATIVES are on track to lose their majority, leaving Britain with a hung parliament, according to the latest YouGov projection. But could the prediction come true?
YouGov’s controversial election model predicts that the Conservatives will fall short of an overall majority by 22 seats in the general election.
Its latest projection found that the Tories would get 304 seats on Thursday June 8, well below the 326 needed for a majority government.
But most voters and pollsters believe that Prime Minister Theresa May will still secure a majority during the election on June 8.
A new Survation poll shows that Labour has slashed the Conservatives lead from 17 to just one point over the course of the past month.
The poll, for Good Morning Britain, put the Conservatives at 41.5 per cent, just ahead of Labour on 40.4 per cent, with two days to go until the election.
Another Survation poll in Scotland found that the SNP are on track to win 40.2 per cent of the vote, ahead of the Tories at 26.6 per cent and Labour at 25.4 per cent.
Using the Electoral Calculus model, the results form these two polls would give the Conservatives a slim majority of about 331 on election day.
But Survation senior project manager Chris Hopkins warned that these kind of election models do not take local campaigning into account.
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